Newsletter

Austin 2-4 Unit Market Update – Feb, 2012
MARKET REPORT: FEBRUARY 2011
Castle Hill Investments
 

Market at a Glance

1. 2011 Sales – Steady As She Goes

Total number of sales of duplexes and fourplexes was 505 buildings in 2011, a modest 3% increase in deal activity over 2010. Median sale price was unchanged at $195,000 in both years. For a detailed analysis of each MLS area’s performance, colleague Steve Crossland has done an excellent job compiling the statistics here.

2. Excess supply is tapering off, firming up pricing in all areas.

As of this writing, there are only 196 duplexes and fourplexes on the market. This is a historic low in my recollection, and I’ve heard colleagues comment that there is very little good inventory available. This reality reflects the fact that given record high rental values, sellers are not motivated to sell. Prices in all areas have firmed up and reflect values similar to those in 2008. These are 5-10% less than the record high values of early 2007, but are stronger today than we’ve seen them since 2008.

3. Demand Remains Relatively Low

Despite record low listing inventory, buyers are also relatively scarce. Activity has certainly picked up since the dog days a few years ago, but there is no rush to the market from new buyers. This is due to the usual suspects – the continued difficulty in obtaining financing, general economic pessimism, and the shine of real estate still not having returned to pre-recession levels. Long story short – it stinks to be a broker right now, because you’re not making much money.

2012 Outlook for Buyers

1. Though there are simply no “killer” deals to be had, quick movers can still take advantage of fairly priced listings in good areas; usually properties that have been updated and leased up prior to sale. Sellers know that they can’t pass off junk because buyers have plenty of time to scrutinize it.

2. Little competition doesn’t necessarily mean sellers will come substantially off their prices, but lower competition allows for more orderly evaluation of potential investments. Our policy is to price properties low enough that a full price offer is, in our opinion, a fair value for the property. In some cases the sellers will reduce a little, but I haven’t seen more than $5,000 or so reductions in at least 18 months.

3. The rental market continues to be red hot here; one of the hottest in the country. Well-qualified investors can still obtain sub-5% loans on $150,000 properties that generate $1600/mo in gross rents. Properly managed, there is simply no alternative investment that I know of that comes close to providing the same leveraged return.

2012 Outlook for Sellers

1. Pricing right is still key, as is offering a property in good condition. We consult with all sellers to identify the proper price range and updates, if necessary, to obtain full market value. That said, given the low inventory, this is the best time to list since 2007. I have extremely low inventory right now, and could sell most properly priced listings in a short period of time. If you’ve been leaning towards a sale, call me now.

2. If your property is in Central Austin with few competing rental properties nearby, it is likely your duplex will be a better candidate for owner-occupant positioning rather than investment. A unit in the building should be vacant or month to month, and the tenants need to be clean and facilitate easy showings.

3. If the property is in a rental neighborhood or more working class area, it needs to be leased at market rents and have limited deferred maintenance. There are always bargain hunters in the market that will buy a vacant and/or a building with deferred maintenance, but the discount has to be higher in a slow market, and selling this way is not recommended.

Looking Forward through 2012

1. There are whispers that financing will gradually loosen up and more investors will qualify for duplex and fourplex loans. I think this will happen, but it will be a slow process; as banks are not eager to repeat the devastation of a few years ago.

2. Supply continues to become marginally pent-up. Some owners cannot wait for the market to return to 2007 levels and increasingly, these sellers will move their buildings on the market. These will be far and few between, however. The ultimate irony I’ve noticed in this market is that sellers don’t start putting their properties on the market en masse until the rental market takes a hit and they suffer a turnover or two. Then we start getting the phone calls; but by then there is often quite a bit of competing inventory. 2006 and 2007 was a rare event, in that the poor rental market had sellers selling in droves at the same time that out of state buyers were purchasing everything they could. This perfect storm will not recur any time soon.

3. 2012 is a big election year, so expect optimism as the year progresses, as inspirational messages, improved unemployment statistics, and general shaking-off-of-the-malaise gathers speed. I expect this year to end better than it started.

4. Austin continues its growth march in earnest, as the second fastest growing metropolitan area in the United States. These folks need homes, duplexes, rental units. They will buy and rent our inventory. This will move prices upward. But as we’ve always advised our clients; one must be reasonable. Historical price appreciation in the U.S. is 4-6% per year. Austin simply must beat the national average, given its rapid growth.

At Castle Hill Investments

We finished 2011 with sales volume of $24.1M (represented by over 131 transactions). This volume represents seven times the volume of the next runner up in duplex and fourplex sales. I am pleased that the market recognizes our leadership in duplex and fourplex listings, and hope that we are able to maintain this reputation through fair and honest dealing, and rigorous buyer and seller representation.

We are excited that Jeff Lowther has come in and set new sales records as Director of Buyer Services. We are proud to have the premiere duplex and fourplex buyer agent broker on our team. Investors looking to get into the Austin market could not be better served than by working with Jeff Lowther.

This year, Adrienne Laosa has become my partner in the brokerage services side of our business. Adrienne has four years experience in sales and transaction coordination with me, and routinely is named the highlight of clients’ experience in working with our firm. She understands the market, has an incredible work ethic, and endeavors to provide an “over the top” client experience with every transaction. I am proud to have her by my side, as she takes a larger role in our brokerage business.

Thank you for your continued business, and please reach out if there is anything our team can do for you.

Investment Property Listing

5005 Cana Cove, Austin TX., 78749 - $219,900

Duplex

2/2.5 and 2/1.5

Total monthly rent – $1890/mo

Built in 1983

2,158 total square feet

Rare opportunity in SWW on one of only a handful of streets in this green, beautiful area of Austin with duplexes. Appropriate investment for someone looking for solid, super-clean rental in great area.

 

+ IN THIS ISSUE
Market at a Glance 

2012 Outlook for Buyers

2012 Outlook for Sellers

Looking Forward through 2012

At Castle Hill Investments

Investment Property Listing

AUSTIN IN THE NEWS 

A roundup of stories about    Austin’s economy

Austin Multifamily Outlook, High Employment 

1 of 10 Cities Poised for 2012 Greatness

Popular with Investors Abroad

Austin Among Top Searched Real Estate Markets

State Property Values Up Last Year

Quarterly Market Report: Fall 2011
QUARTERLY MARKET REPORT: FALL 2011
Castle Hill Investments
Meet Director of Buyer Services, Jeff Lowther  

 

Jeff LowtherAs the dawn of another real estate market cycle approaches, a new wave of investors has begun to take a serious look at the Austin market. Perhaps it’s due to Central Texas’ reputation as one of the strongest economies in the US, as well as the lowest unemployment, and strongest relative rental values in the country. Or perhaps it’s because the market offers values we haven’t seen in years. Combined with interest rates at record lows, it is again possible to build a positive cash flow portfolio in Austin.

Jeff Lowther has been perhaps the most consistently top producing local investment buyer agent since his first splash into the market in 1996. As an investor who owns many properties himself, Jeff has the experience of having worked through several local cycles, and has his finger firmly planted on the pulse of the market.

Jeff has a genuine empathy and patience in working with his investor clients. While the recent recession has culled the market of 80% or more of investment-focused agents, Jeff remains in the game as he has been for nearly 16 years. As he says, “I’ve seen so many agents with an ‘investment focus’ come into the business when things heat up. What invariably happens is their inexperience leads them to recommend the wrong properties. By the time the investment goes South, that agent is long gone.”

“What I liked about Robert’s offer to be Castle Hill’s ‘buy side’ agent is that Robert has a long term vision and commitment to the local investment market. He and Castle Hill Investments have hitched their star to this niche, and not only are they the most respected for their consistent top-ranked production, but are identified by local players as being far and away the market leader in the brokerage of residential investment property. I couldn’t pass up the opportunity to be half of the #1 team in the city.”

Jeff gets to know his clients by asking a series of questions about investment goals, risk tolerance, and the desire for hands-on versus passive involvement in management duties. From this profile, he is able to build a deeper understanding of investment (and owner-occupant) clients. He knows patience is the name of the game. “Right now, I’m more interested in building relationships. I know that coming out of the recession, the sales cycle is longer, and people want to look before they leap. I’m patient.”

Jeff has a B.S. in Communications from UT Austin, as well as an MBA in Finance from Rice University in Houston. He is married with two sons. He may be reached at jeff@castlehillinvestments.com or 512-444-2299.

Rental Values Continue to Soar

The latest analysis from the Austin American-Statesman shows that rental rates in the area have increased by 11% since the beginning of 2011.

Austin’s surging job growth and low unemployment is certainly the biggest factor. And because so little inventory was built after commercial construction financing dried up in 2007, there is at least another couple of years before new competing inventory arrives.

Further, land in Austin is more expensive than anywhere in Texas, thus new apartments developments have to charge high rents to make their numbers work. Because the majority of duplex and fourplex housing stock is now approaching 30 years of age (yet is still generally centrally located), rental values are a relative bargain, and thus less resistant to competition from new construction.

The key here (as with any investment) is ensuring that the assets being purchased are priced right. If you’re getting a good deal on the duplex or fourplex, the consistency of rental values and occupancy are historically more stable in Austin than almost any other market in the US. Jeff Lowther is an expert at identifying good value.

Investment Property Listings

North Central

7929 Vinewood Lane, Austin TX 78757 - $189,900
DUPLEX
| $2145/mo TOTAL RENT
Quiet cul de sac; cute units in popular neighborhood. Cash flow in Central Austin.

Technology Corridor

905 Fieldwood, Austin TX 78758 – $139,900
DUPLEX | $1445/mo TOTAL RENT
Cash flow in the Tech Corridor.  Fully leased and in good condition.


921 Fieldwood, Austin TX 78758 – $139,900
DUPLEX | $1350/mo TOTAL RENT
Cash flow in the Tech Corridor. Fully leased and in good condition.

South Austin

2200 Leah Cove, Austin TX 78748 – $179,900

FOURPLEX
| $2200/mo TOTAL RENTS

Best priced investment in Austin based on location, condition and cash flow.

East Austin


6211 Langham St., Austin TX 78741 – $189,900
DUPLEX | $1985/mo TOTAL RENT
Newer construction close to the action of Central Austin.  Always leased due to location and large 3/2 x 2 configuration.

Wrap or Short Sale – Owners Wanting Out Have Options

There remain a handful of investors of local property that are eager to sell and move on. For some of these investors that purchased at the top of the market, they’ve been waiting for market values to return in order to exit.

For properties that are heavily “under water”, short sales remain a viable option. Since 2007, we’ve successfully negotiated with banks on behalf of owners for close to 100 short sales. There is no cost to owners, and banks are becoming increasingly willing to work out deals, which is unlikely to last too much longer. The impact on the owner’s credit report is significantly less than that of a foreclosure, and some of our past clients have reported the impact was actually negligible.

For properties in which the loan balances are relatively close to market value, another option is called wraparound financing, in which a new buyer comes in and purchases the property (assuming all expenses and management responsibilities). The first lien mortgage on the property stays in place in the name of the original owner. The wraparound contract stipulates the longest the new buyer may keep the original lien in place is five years, after which time they must sell or refinance the property. Wraparound financing transactions are ideal for sellers who wouldn’t be able to sell after expenses without bringing money to the table, but want to keep their credit in pristine condition and are willing to allow the new buyer to take over payments.

Robert Grunnah has conducted more short sale and wraparound transactions for residential investment property than anyone in Central Texas, so if you’d like more information about these options, please contact him at robert@castlehillinvestments.com or 512-444-2299.

Revamped Website Launches Today
Re-working our website is a tough task that I do not look forward to. However, I am excited about this new version launched today (at www.castlehillinvestments.com). I think it cuts through the B.S., and accurately addresses what buyers and sellers of residential investment properly really want to know. Namely, what properties are on the market and why should I invest in them?

I hope you’ll take a look at our new site, and let me know if you have any suggestions or advice.

A well deserved thanks is in order for web developer Jennifer Chance, designer Joel Skotak, and SEO master Ben Pfeiffer.

Who Really Runs Things Around Here – The Client Services Team

The brokerage business can be back-breaking work, and as one of the Austin Business Journal’s Top Producing teams for five years in a row, Castle Hill Investments can be a crazy place to work.

Luckily, we have Adrienne Laosa to steer the ship. Adrienne has been with us for three years, and has recently been promoted to Director of Client Services, overseeing all operations of the brokerage team. Adrienne has mastered the art of managing unruly tenants, eager buyers and sellers, and fussy lenders – all with a great smile, positive attitude, and superb professionalism. Adrienne has recently earned her Realtor’s license, and will become increasingly involved in managing our book of business, as well as overseeing operations so that every client has a winning experience.

Justin Donjuan is rapidly becoming Adrienne’s “right hand guy”. Having joined us in 2010, Justin has already been promoted to Adrienne’s Assistant Director of Client Services, and looks forward to using his management skills, strong work ethic, and ambition to continue to learn the business inside and out. Justin is a valuable asset to the team, and we look forward to watching him grow into his professional role.

Preview of Winter, 2012 Market Update

In our next quarterly update, to be released in January, we’ll go quantitatively heavy and analyze the overall sales numbers from 2011, pinpointing which property types and neighborhoods fared the best and the worst, and identifying trends for successful future investments.

 

 

+ IN THIS ISSUE
Meet Director of Buyer Services Jeff Lowther

Rental Values Continue to Soar
 

Investment Property Listings

Wrap or Short Sale? Owners Wanting Out Have Options

Revamped Website Launches


Meet Our Client Services Team

Coming up in January: 2011 Year End Statistics

SEEKING LENDERS
A couple of clients with large portfolios of duplexes and fourplexes are seeking to refinance several million dollars in debt. If you are a loan officer or investor seeking to place debt capital, these portfolios have strong LTVs, locations, and debt service coverage. Please contact broker/owner Robert Grunnah for more information.

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